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Regional Economic Development

Building costs remain high despite easing inflation – Master Builders 

TODAY’S ABS inflation data showed headline inflation eased to 3.5% during July. However, Master Builders Australia said new dwelling costs rose by 5.7% over the past year, while rental inflation remained elevated at 3.6%.

Master Builders Australia chief economist Shane Garrett said building businesses continue to face pressure from rising costs and ill-considered policy decisions, making the latest dwelling and rental inflation figures unsurprising.

“The ABS’s observation that higher labour and material costs are being passed on to consumers should serve as a reminder to government that when pressure is placed on builders and tradies, all Australians ultimately pay the price,” Mr Garrett said.

“The rental inflation result is also no surprise, particularly given independent modelling shows that following the Federal Budget’s tax changes the national rent bill could increase by $3.42 billion over the next four years, making it even harder for renters to save for a deposit,” Mr Garrett said.

Master Builders Australia CEO Denita Wawn said recent policy decisions affecting investment were contributing to “many new building projects no longer stacking up financially”. Denita Wawn

“The uncertainty created by global economic disruption and recent Federal Budget measures is hurting housing supply, pushing up rents, and undermining apprenticeships and productivity across the construction sector,” Ms Wawn said.

“The cost of building a home is now more than 50% higher than it was before the pandemic, at a time when housing remains one of the biggest contributors to inflation and one of the top concerns for voters.

“A combination of rising costs for new dwellings, alongside market uncertainty, means that project decisions will be delayed and new housing supply will slow.

“As we have consistently argued, the government should reconsider its proposed changes to capital gains tax, negative gearing, and the ban on self-managed super fund investment in housing.

“At a minimum, it should grandfather the proposed tax changes to trusts including those used by small business builders. These would be important steps towards restoring a pro-housing supply, infrastructure and construction agenda ahead of MYEFO (mid-year economic and fiscal outlook of the Federal Budget),” Ms Wawn said.

www.masterbuilders.com.au

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HIA says Govt 1.2 million housing target becomes harder to reach 'from today'

“FROM TODAY, it gets harder for Australia to build the 1.2 million homes governments have committed too.”

That is the view of Housing Industry Association (HIA) chief economist Tim Reardon.

From today, new Limited Recourse Borrowing Arrangements (LRBAs) can no longer be used by Self-Managed Super Funds (SMSFs) to build new residential homes.

HIA has consistently warned that removing this source of finance from the housing market will reduce investment in new homes at precisely the time Australia needs significantly more housing.

“Initial analysis indicates that the SMSF ban is likely to have a greater adverse impact on the supply of new homes than the government's changes to negative gearing and capital gains tax combined,” Mr Reardon said. Tim Reardon HIA chief economist

“Despite this, there hasn’t been a cost/benefit analysis, a regulatory impact statement or even Treasury modelling released to justify the policy change.

“The government hasn’t declared what the net public benefit will be from denying tens of thousands of Australians access to a home, each year,” Mr Reardon said.

“Our survey of Australia’s largest home builders indicates the SMSF changes alone will reduce detached home commencements by between 3.5% and 5% per year.

“In addition, around 2,500 new home contracts that had already been signed are expected to be cancelled as the administrative arrangements could not be completed by today.

“The adverse shock of prohibiting borrowing to build a new apartment by an SMSF is likely to be more significant.

“Governments have committed to delivering 1.2 million new homes. Yet from today, Australia is removing one of the investment pathways that has helped finance the construction of new housing.

“You cannot make it harder to invest in new homes and expect more homes to be built. Not a single SMSF lives in a home in Australia and therefore aren’t adding to demand.

“And when an SMSF builds a new home, they do not add to demand, but they only add to supply,” Mr Reardon said.

“The housing challenge needs to be considered as if we are trying to squeeze 11 million households into 10 million homes.

“The cause of the housing challenge isn’t that we have too many investors, or that prices are too high. These are the symptoms of a shortage of housing stock, not the cause of the shortage.

“Every new policy should be assessed against a simple test: does it increase the number of homes built?

“The government should release the modelling that informed this decision, including its estimate of how many fewer homes will be built as a consequence of banning SMSF borrowing for residential property,” Mr Reardon said.

“If that modelling has not been undertaken, then the government should commission and publish a cost benefit analysis of the policy, including its impact on housing commencements, rental supply, construction employment and government revenues for state and federal governments.

“Treasury has estimated the housing supply consequences of the changes to negative gearing. Australians deserve the same transparency for a policy that will have a tangible adverse impact on the supply of new homes commencing construction.

“If we are serious about building 1.2 million homes, every policy should encourage, not discourage, investment in new housing,” Mr Reardon said.

www.hia.com.au

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HIA calls on Treasurer to task Productivity Commission with IR laws review

HOUSING INDUSTRY Association (HIA) managing director Jocelyn Martin is calling on Federal Treasurer Jim Chalmers to task the Productivity Commission to examine how recent industrial relations changes are affecting productivity, workforce participation, skills shortages and housing delivery across the economy.

Ms Martin said Mr Chalmers had demonstrated "confidence in the Productivity Commission" by tasking it with examining some of the nation's most difficult and important economic challenges, including housing supply.

"It would be  entirely appropriate that the same independent scrutiny be applied to recent industrial relations reforms," Ms Martin said. Jocelyn Martin HIA

"Recent calls from across Parliament, including from Independent MP Allegra Spender, have highlighted the need for policy settings to be assessed through the lens of productivity, competition and economic performance rather than ideology alone.

"Ms Spender has argued that productivity considerations should be more explicitly embedded in industrial relations settings and has raised concerns about policies that reduce competition and increase costs.

"The residential building industry is facing persistent labour shortages, increasing costs and declining productivity at a time when governments are relying on the sector to deliver an unprecedented number of new homes," Ms Martin said.

"Recent developments in the construction sector illustrate why an independent assessment of industrial relations reforms is needed.

"Questions are being raised about whether new industrial relations mechanisms, including multi-employer bargaining arrangements, expanded employee rights and benefits, increased strict liability offences and penalty provisions, are affecting labour costs, workforce flexibility, competition and the delivery of housing projects.

"These are significant questions that deserve rigorous, evidence-based examination," the HIA managing director said.

"These concerns are amplified by the ongoing fallout from the CFMEU governance crisis and the recent call for a Royal Commission from the new Victorian Premier. The issues exposed over recent years should make both governments and industry cautious about introducing policy settings that may further concentrate industrial and market power within the building and construction industry.

"Against that backdrop, HIA is concerned that recently passed Building Cooperative Workplaces legislation could create pathways for governments to preference enterprise agreement-covered businesses in public procurement and funding arrangements. Such measures have the potential to influence competition, market participation and project costs in ways that warrant careful examination.

"Small and medium-sized businesses make up the overwhelming majority of residential building contractors. Any policy settings that advantage some businesses over others based on the industrial instrument that covers their workforce should be assessed for their impact on competition, productivity, housing costs and the capacity of the industry to meet the National Housing Accord target.

"The Productivity Commission is uniquely placed to assess these issues objectively and transparently," Ms Martin said.

"Australia's productivity performance has been weak for an extended period and construction productivity has been under pressure for decades. At the same time, the industry continues to face acute workforce shortages across many key trades, including electricians, carpenters, plumbers and other essential occupations needed to build homes and deliver national infrastructure.

"Housing affordability, productivity and workforce policy are inextricably linked," she said.

"If Australia is to meet its housing targets and improve living standards, policymakers need a clear understanding of how workplace relations settings are influencing productivity, investment, business confidence, labour mobility and skills availability.

"Industrial relations settings should be evaluated in the same way as planning systems, taxation, migration and skills policies: on the basis of whether they help Australia build more homes, attract more workers, lift productivity and improve living standards.

"This is not an argument for or against any particular industrial relations reform.

It is a call for independent analysis and an objective assessment of the other half of the equation – being the productivity impact resulting from the continuous and cumulative suite of IR reforms Australian businesses are facing," Ms Martin said.

"If recent workplace changes are delivering productivity improvements, supporting workforce participation and helping address labour shortages, the evidence should demonstrate that. Equally, if there are unintended consequences that reduce competition, increase costs, constrain workforce flexibility or impede housing delivery, governments need to understand those impacts.

"Given the scale of the housing challenge, Australia cannot afford policies that inadvertently drive up costs, restrict workforce flexibility or reduce competition across the construction sector.

"The lessons from recent events involving the CFMEU should reinforce the need for policy settings that promote transparency, competition and productivity rather than concentrating industrial influence," she said. Jim Chalmers Federal Treasurer no tie

"Australians deserve an informed debate grounded in evidence rather than ideology.

"Australia cannot afford an ideological debate while confronting housing shortages, skills constraints and weak productivity growth.

"That is why Treasurer Chalmers should ask the Productivity Commission to undertake a comprehensive review of the productivity impacts of recent industrial relations reforms, so Australians can have an evidence-based conversation about the trade-offs involved and the policy settings required to support both strong workplace protections and a productive, growing economy," Ms Martin said.

www.hia.com.au

 

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HIA says wage rise ruling will increase housing costs and hit small builders hardest

THE Housing Industry Association (HIA) has warned the 4.75% rise in minimum award wages will negatively impact the pace of new home builds and small builders will feel its impact the most.

“The Housing Industry Association is deeply concerned with today’s Fair Work Commission decision to increase the Minimum Award Wages by 4.75%, which will make it harder to deliver new homes at the scale Australia urgently needs,” HIA managing director, Jocelyn Martin said.

“The Fair Work Commission’s secondary determination to effectively abolish the C13 classification rate, the entry-level rate for some workers, will also add additional pressure on employers,” she said. “This is a blunt approach that should have been given more detailed consideration. 

“These decisions add yet another layer of cost pressure to a residential building sector already under significant strain arising from the Middle East conflict and the recent Federal Budget, risking further delays and reductions in housing supply.

“Today’s decision will be felt most acutely by small and medium-sized residential builders, who make up the backbone of the industry.

“Small builders operate on tight margins and fixed-price contracts. They simply don’t have the ability to absorb ongoing cost increases.

“Each additional cost impost, whether it’s wages, materials or regulatory burden, chips away at their capacity to keep building,” Ms Martin said.

“This decision will force some builders to rethink new projects, delay commencements, or in some cases exit the market altogether.

“This continued cost escalation across multiple uncoordinated government policy areas, is undermining national efforts to boost housing supply and affordability. You cannot increase costs on one hand and expect output to rise on the other.

“The cumulative impact of labour costs, taxes, planning delays and compliance requirements is creating a structural barrier to delivering new homes and eroding project feasibility,” Ms Martin said.

“Today’s decision will additionally place further flow-on effects for apprentices and workforce development.
“Small builders train the majority of the industry’s apprentices, but rising labour costs make it harder for them to take on and retain trainees.

“At exactly the time we need to grow the workforce to meet housing demand, decisions like this risk pushing us in the opposite direction,” she said.

“HIA recommended a 3.5% increase to the national minimum wage rate this year, with our submission stating this increased rate represents the outer boundary of what is fiscally sustainable in the current environment.

“If governments are serious about improving housing affordability and increasing supply, they must ensure policy settings support builders, not constrain them,” Ms Martin said.

“That includes reducing regulatory costs, supporting apprenticeships, and ensuring that decisions like this from the Fair Work Commission do not undermine broader housing objectives.”

www.hia.com.au

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Building approvals slump as industry braces for tax changes – Master Builders analysis

THE recently-released ABS building approval data for April shows a 3.4% drop in new home building approvals overall. But in a closer look, that average is made up of higher density dwelling approvals falling by 7.2%, but new detached houses only dropped by 0.9%.

“Today’s results confirm that new home building was already on the back foot in the lead up to the May Federal Budget, with approvals falling in both March and April,” Master Builders Australia chief economist Shane Garrett said.

“Independent modelling tells us that the Federal Budget changes including new restrictions on negative gearing and capital gains tax will result in a net decline of 8,700 new homes from the building pipeline over the next four years, exacerbating our shortage of homes,” Mr Garrett said. 

Independent modelling also showed that the Budget would hit construction jobs and GDP while causing rents to increase, according to Mr Garrett.

Master Builders Australia CEO Denita Wawn said a housing crisis was not the time to place more hurdles in front of small builders, who make up 98% of the industry.

“A housing crisis is the time for governments to focus on policies that increase housing supply, including addressing a workforce that is hundreds of thousands short, reducing unnecessary red tape, and improving, not disincentivising, the investment pipeline,” Ms Wawn said.

“Competition regulators must also ensure the surcharges recently introduced by some businesses in response to the Middle East conflict are rolled back as swiftly as they were introduced when conditions allow.

“These pressures are being compounded by broader economic factors, including the impacts of global conflict and higher interest rates. Master Builders is urging policymakers to take into consideration all of these factors, and to ensure that the Budget legislation is an intervention that will increase and not decrease our housing supply,” Ms Wawn said.

In addition to the tax hikes on housing, the Federal Budget also proposes tax changes to trusts. 

“Builders are particularly concerned about the lack of grandfathering provisions in relation to trusts, which creates uncertainty and potential cost implications for long-established business structures,” Ms Wawn said.

“It risks unintended consequences across the building sector, with small businesses using this business structure to manage the inherent risks and volatility in the sector.

“In order to grow the number of builders and housing supply, small businesses require a system that is consistent, predictable, and recognises how they actually operate, and more consultation is needed in this space,” Ms Wawn said.

www.masterbuilders.com.au

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HIA congress warns 'business barriers to construction' must be removed

THE Housing Industry Association’s (HIA) National Policy Congress (NPC) has issued a clear warning that housing supply will continue to suffer unless governments remove barriers to construction and avoid policy settings that undermine investment.

The discussions drew the overall conclusions that housing delivery is under pressure from all sides — rising costs, global uncertainty, workforce shortages and an increasingly complex regulatory environment.

The NPC – made up of elected representatives from regions across Australia, together with the chairs of HIA’s eight specialist committees, staged its annual meeting on the Gold Coast on April 16. 
The industry has come from the summit united in its view that the only sustainable solution to Australia’s housing crisis is to build more homes – and that requires policies that support investment, productivity and confidence.

A range of emerging national policy issues were highlighted at the congress. 

 
International conflict and housing
The NPC reaffirmed its concern that ongoing international conflict continues to pose risks to residential construction activity in Australia. These risks include increased costs of materials, extended construction timeframes and greater uncertainty across housing markets.
With much of the residential building industry operating under fixed‑price contracts, builders — and the trades and product suppliers that rely on them — are exposed when costs increase unexpectedly.
This reinforces the need for all levels of government to avoid introducing policies that would further impede housing delivery, including additional taxation, regulatory burdens or administrative delays.
 
Taxation policy needs work
Members reaffirmed the residential construction industry’s strong opposition to changes to the taxation system that would de-incentivise investment in new housing.
The congress noted that more than 40% of new homes were financed by investors.

Recent independent research indicates that increasing capital gains tax, when applied to establishing housing only, will reduce investment in new home supply. Improving the supply of housing requires more investment in new home supply, not less.
 
Construction Code should be overhauled and modernised

The NPC recognised that Australia has a once-in-a-generation opportunity to reform the National Construction Code (NCC), which is the cornerstone document governing home building.
The NCC has become overly complex and has been tasked to solve an expanding number of policy issues. As a result, it is no longer fit for purpose.

Builders are strongly of the view that the time is right for a complete knock-down rebuild to restore it as a world leading code.
For those states implementing NCC 2025, NPC reaffirmed the position that the industry “needs room to breathe” from any further regulatory changes, and any changes should not occur until at least May 1, 2027.

Equally, any changes to workplace exposure standards for silica should be delayed. Furthermore, new building policy must evolve to keep pace with a range of changes, threats and opportunities.


AI comes into the residential building industry
The NPC recognised that artificial intelligence (AI) has an important role to play in enhancing productivity across the residential building industry.

AI has the potential to improve business operations and workplace practices, deliver on‑site efficiencies, achieve cost savings, and strengthen supply‑chain outcomes through more effective sourcing and use of products and services.
As AI technologies evolve rapidly, governments must strike an appropriate balance between protecting privacy and intellectual property and ensuring that innovation is not unintentionally constrained.

Over‑regulation risks limiting the industry’s ability to adopt new technologies that can help address skills shortages and improve productivity.
 
Values Statement for the residential building industry
The NPC unanimously agreed to adopt a Values Statement for its members and the broader sphere of influence within the residential building industry.
The Values Statement articulates a set of core beliefs and principles intended to guide behaviour and decision‑making, and to inform how the industry operates and engages with stakeholders.

The congress agreed that a clearly defined values framework would be beneficial to industry participants, the community and governments.
The statement is underpinned by eight core principles designed to guide decision‑making, reinforce lawful and acceptable conduct, build trust, strengthen professionalism, promote ethical behaviour, and improve safety and building performance outcomes.
 
Circular economy

The NPC noted the emergence of the circular economy – an environmental concept aimed at maintaining the value of materials for as long as possible across all phases of their life cycle.
The Federal Government’s net zero plan foreshadows increased adoption of circular economy principles, including targets to reduce material footprints, lift materials productivity and increase resource recovery.

The congress affirmed that the industry does not support circular economy principles being imposed as mandatory requirements in the design, manufacture or demolition of buildings. “Any targets must not compromise the primary objectives of the National Construction Code and relevant Australian Standards relating to life safety, nor undermine housing supply or affordability,” a HIA spokesperson said.
“Policies affecting building products must preserve consumer and industry choice in materials and building solutions.

“Frameworks and regulations must recognise competing performance objectives, the high operational energy efficiency of new homes, and regional and geographical considerations that require flexibility in product selection.”

www.hia.com.au

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New home sales maintain momentum, up 17% in March - HIA

NEW HOME sales increased by 17% in March, in spite of the 0.25% rise in the cash rate and increasing fuel prices according to Housing Industry Association (HIA) chief economist Tim Reardon.

The HIA New Home Sales report is a monthly survey of the largest volume home builders in the five largest states and is a leading indicator of future detached home construction.

“Sales of new homes have been increasing since early 2025 and the disruptions of the past two months have not stopped this momentum, with sales for the March quarter 31.9% higher than at the same time last year,” Mr Reardon said.

“This is a strong result given the impact of two rate increases and heightened global uncertainty.

“This likely reflects the strength of the recovery that was underway prior to the increase in rates and the strong growth in established home prices over the past year," he said.  

“The growth in sales could partly reflect a growing involvement from first home buyers who are no longer required to take out mortgage insurance, although this data isn’t available through this data set. A jump in sales in New South Wales and Victoria is a welcome sign given their low volume of detached starts.

“More broadly, demand for housing remains strong, supported by strong population growth and low unemployment. These structural drivers continue to underpin activity, even as borrowing costs rise.

“However, the capacity to respond to this demand remains constrained. The rise in the cost of skilled labour and materials is expected to persist through 2026, while access to shovel ready land remains the key limit the number of homes that can be delivered,” Mr Reardon said.

“Input costs are also emerging as a renewed risk. More significant is the risk that higher energy costs feed into the production of materials such as steel, bricks and concrete, which would place further upward pressure on construction costs later in 2026.”

By state, Queensland recorded the largest monthly increase in March, with a 34.3% rise.

This was followed by South Australia (+22.5%), Victoria (+19.1%) and New South Wales (+11.8%) with Western Australia the only state to see a decline in new home sales contracts (-0.3%).

www.hia.com.au

 

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